Democrats hold the lead in the Gubernatorial, Senate, and Congressional elections, pointing towards possible gains in the midterm elections according to the latest Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll.
In the poll Governor Tom Wolf leads all three Republican challengers Laura Ellsworth, Paul Mango, and Scott Wagner. Wagner comes closest to Wolf trailing 47-31, while Mango trails 47-27, and Ellsworth trails 46-26. The poll did not do a heads up for the Republican primary.
Senator Bob Casey also leads matchups against both Lou Barletta, 48-32, and Jim Christiana, 48-29.
Democrats also lead in a generic ballot for Congress 47-38. Part of that may be in part from voters perception of the tax reform bill passed by Congress, which 39% approve of and 46% disapprove. Voters are pretty evenly split on if they think the bill will increase or decrease their taxes, 25% say is will increase and 28% think it decrease taxes. 36% think it will have no impact on their taxes.
A majority of voters, 55%, disapprove of President Trump while 39% approve. Wolf and Casey’s job approval ratings are both above water, but below a majority approving. 46% approve of Wolf while 35% disapprove, and 41% approve of Casey while 28% disapprove.
The poll surveyed 414 voters between April 4th and 12th using both telephones and cell phones. Te margin of error is 5.5%.