A new survey conducted by the Robert Morris University Polling Institute found that Tom Wolf holds a 55.5% to 24.7% lead over Tom Corbett. This RMU poll (which was “powered” by Trib Total Media) shows the largest deficit yet for the incumbent, totaling more than thirty points.
The poll found 19.8% of respondents were undecided. When those people were asked if they were leaning towards a particular candidate Wolf’s margin grew to 60.3% to 28.6%. Just 12.9% stayed undecided.
The Democratic nominee holds a lead across all age and racial groups.
RMU political scientist Philip Harold went so far as to say “time has just about run out for Corbett.”
“While a sizable chunk of voters has yet to choose a candidate to support, there are not enough undecided voters to make the difference for Corbett,” said Harold, the associate dean of the School of Education and Social Sciences at Robert Morris. “And among those who did choose a candidate, only 14 percent said they could change their minds easily. Among undecided voters who lean towards a candidate, Wolf is their choice by 2-to-1.”
The RMU poll also found that most of the undecideds in their survey were Republicans, indicating that Corbett is having significant trouble with his base.
“Simply put, there is no enthusiastic base of support for Governor Corbett to rely on come Election Day,” Harold concluded.
Interestingly, they did find that an association with President Obama would hurt Wolf with about 29% of independent voters. The Corbett-Cawley camp are clearly banking on this connection to gin up support at least among their base voters. For instance, their latest TV ad asserted that Wolf would be like a “third term” for the President.
This poll sampled 500 Pennsylvanians by online survey. It was conducted from August 18 to 22 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5%.