PA-Sen: Suffolk University Poll: McGinty 43 Toomey 36
Hours before taking the stage for the biggest speech of her life, Katie McGinty got a huge boost from the latest Suffolk University poll.
The poll shows McGinty – who is set to speak at the Democratic National Convention around 5:30 Thursday night – with a 7-point advantage over GOP Sen. Pat Toomey.
McGinty leads with female voters by 16 points over the incumbent, 48-32, while Toomey edges Gov. Tom Wolf’s former chief of staff with male voters 40-38, according to the poll.
Toomey wins the white vote 41-36, but minorities overwhelmingly back the Democrat for Senate, 68-14.
Philadelphia is McGinty’s strongest region, beating Toomey by 36 points in the City of Brotherly Love. McGinty also leads in the southwest (46-34) and central PA (41-38). Toomey found his biggest support from western PA (44-38) and the northeast (40-36).
McGinty, who also served as Secretary of the DEP under former Gov. Ed Rendell, leads her opponent across all age groups.
McGinty pulled in 75% of likely Hillary Clinton voters, while Toomey received support from 70% of likely Donald Trump voters.
Toomey has a net-zero favorability rating, with 36% on either side. 23% are still undecided about the first-term senator, and 6% of likely voters still don’t know who he is, according to the poll.
McGinty a +6 favorability rating, but has much work to do in terms of name recognition. 25% are undecided about how they see her, while 23% do not know her name.
Suffolk University polled 500 likely voters in Pennsylvania using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the 2016 general election. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The poll was conducted between July 25th and July 27th.