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Poll: Biden Leads Trump; Casey Holds Edge on McCormick

Joe Biden, Bob Casey

President Joe Biden has a 7.5-point advantage over former President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania in a poll conducted by Susquehanna Polling & Research.

The same survey also showed that U.S. Sen. Bob Casey Jr. has a 3.8-point edge over Republican challenger Dave McCormick.

In a sample of 745 likely Keystone State voters from January 15-21, Biden received the support of 46.8 percent of respondents, while Trump came in at 39.3%. Nearly 5 1/2 percent indicated they were backing another candidate, while 7.6% of those surveyed were not sure which candidate they would support.


The numbers for the 46th president are up from a Quinnipiac University poll conducted earlier in the month that showed Biden with a 49-46 lead and a marked improvement from a December poll conducted by the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion which saw Biden with a 42-41 advantage inside the +/- 6.5% margin of error.

Trump’s numbers have trended lower, as the 45th president led the current occupant of the White House, 47-45, in October and 47-46 in June.

Casey’s lead over McCormick fell just outside the +/- 3.7% margin of error, as the three-time incumbent drew 45.9 percent, while the former Bridgewater Associates hedge fund CEO pulled 42.1%. Just under 10 percent indicated that they were unsure of who to support, while 2.7% selected other candidates.


McCormick closed a 10-point gap that the Quinnipiac poll showed just weeks ago, when he trailed, 53-43. Casey also held a six-point edge in an October survey (50-44).

Susquehanna Polling and Research (SP&R) is a survey research and polling firm headquartered in Pennsylvania. The firm conducts polling in more than 30 states.

5 Responses

  1. Once McCormick is exposed daily as the hedge fund manager carpet bagging billionaire that he is, his numbers will go down. I’m sure he’s never worked an honest day in his adult life.

    1. Oh come on man! McCormick served his nation in uniform, built his company, a guy born in Washington County (PA) who grew up in Bloomsburg is not a carpet bagger. Talk about a guy who grew up and got elected on Daddy’s name, Sleepy Bob – has he ever worked a day in his life?


  • Understanding that basic education funding should/will be first, what should be the next highest priority for the General Assembly?

    • Raising The Minimum Wage (25%)
    • Legalizing Adult-Use Marijuana (24%)
    • None of the above. Something Else. (20%)
    • Economic Development (14%)
    • Higher Education (8%)
    • Public Transportation (8%)
    • Workforce Opportunities and Innovation (2%)

    Total Voters: 51

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