President Joe Biden has a 7.5-point advantage over former President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania in a poll conducted by Susquehanna Polling & Research.
The same survey also showed that U.S. Sen. Bob Casey Jr. has a 3.8-point edge over Republican challenger Dave McCormick.
In a sample of 745 likely Keystone State voters from January 15-21, Biden received the support of 46.8 percent of respondents, while Trump came in at 39.3%. Nearly 5 1/2 percent indicated they were backing another candidate, while 7.6% of those surveyed were not sure which candidate they would support.
The numbers for the 46th president are up from a Quinnipiac University poll conducted earlier in the month that showed Biden with a 49-46 lead and a marked improvement from a December poll conducted by the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion which saw Biden with a 42-41 advantage inside the +/- 6.5% margin of error.
Trump’s numbers have trended lower, as the 45th president led the current occupant of the White House, 47-45, in October and 47-46 in June.
Casey’s lead over McCormick fell just outside the +/- 3.7% margin of error, as the three-time incumbent drew 45.9 percent, while the former Bridgewater Associates hedge fund CEO pulled 42.1%. Just under 10 percent indicated that they were unsure of who to support, while 2.7% selected other candidates.
McCormick closed a 10-point gap that the Quinnipiac poll showed just weeks ago, when he trailed, 53-43. Casey also held a six-point edge in an October survey (50-44).
In our new Pa poll, McCormick (in Senate race) is overperforming Trump (in POTUS race) w/ GOP voters because Trump is showing signs of GOP defections as a result of the divisive GOP nomination battle in Iowa/NH. Haley is the elephant in the room PUN INTENDED.
— SP&R (@SusquehannaPR) January 23, 2024
Susquehanna Polling and Research (SP&R) is a survey research and polling firm headquartered in Pennsylvania. The firm conducts polling in more than 30 states.