Poll: Fetterman Leads Dem Senate Race, GOP Field Split

According to this new poll, an Allegheny County Democrat holds a lead in his party’s race for the U.S. Senate, while the GOP field is splintered. 

Franklin and Marshall College’s new poll shows that Lt. Gov. John Fetterman currently leads the way among Democratic hopefuls, while Sean Parnell, Kathy Barnette, and Jeff Bartos are within a few points of each other in the GOP race to succeed outgoing Sen. Pat Toomey.

30% of registered Democrats polled said that they would vote for Fetterman as either their first or second choice in the 2022 primary. Rep. Conor Lamb (D-Allegheny) is the next leading Democrat with 14% of support in the poll.

Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh finished with 7% in the poll, followed by state Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta (D-Philadelphia) with 6%, then state Sen. Sharif Street (D-Philadelphia) with 2%. 

37% of registered Democrats polled said that they do not know who they will be supporting for U.S. Senate in the primary, while 2% said someone else, and 1% said none. 

10% of registered Republicans said that they would vote for Parnell as either their first or second choice in the 2022 primary. Barnette is the next Republican with 8% of the vote, followed by Bartos at 7%.

Sean Gale and Carla Sands are locked at 3% each.

63% of registered Republicans polled said that they do not know who they will be supporting for U.S. Senate in the primary, while 6% said someone else. 

446 registered Pennsylvania voters were polled. 

207 polled were Democrats, while 173 Republicans were polled. 

The F&M poll, conducted Aug. 9-15, has a “sample error” of +/- 6.4%. 

See the F&M poll’s summary of findings here.

August 23rd, 2021 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Senate, Top Stories | 26 Comments

26 thoughts on “Poll: Fetterman Leads Dem Senate Race, GOP Field Split”

  1. zakrey+bissell says:

    If Fetterman wins the Democratic Primary and for he will have my endorsement for the general election and for his replacement for the Lieutenant Governor’s position will be a Republican and for that person may be Rick Saccone.

  2. JR says:

    Conor Lamb will receive a boost as more establishment Democrats start to come out and endorse him near the year’s end. But Fetterman’s support among rural PA, independents, and progressives is the sign of a coalition that likely can’t be stopped.

  3. Thomas W says:

    If Trump and Tooney get involved the Dem will win.
    As long as Arkoosh does not win all will be good in PA. She is all sizzle no steak.

  4. Dr. Bob says:

    I have been impressed with both the top-three GOP candidates and how they have conducted their campaigns; they calmly interacted @ Bradford County and will probably provide quality repeat-performances @ the MCRC picnic on this upcoming Saturday.

    Jeff told me he had been misquoted when claiming The Donald had persisted too long in efforts to unearth electoral fraud. Sean maintains excellent eye-contact when chatting, and he has become a favorite on FNC and Bannon [with an extended appearance last night on the former]. Kathy has the capacity to deliver focused/pungent answers to tricky queries and the additional ability to flip to an engaging opening prayer, as she did in Chambersburg prior to Mastriano’s rally [that featured Rudy].

    On the one hand, an endorsement from The Donald would be potent [and could allow for reserved resources] but, on the other hand, endorsing prematurely [when all candidates are MAGA-oriented] could backfire [think Strange over Moore]; they’re all preferable to the also-rans [I have my preferences, but I’m hardly a mover/shaker], and they all can defeat the radical lefties [in a fair election].

    1. Republican Freeloader says:

      “Both the top 3 GOP candidates??” Something don’t seem right with that phrase but anyways all 3 are losers to Fetterman or Lamb.
      Need some new blood in this party.

      1. Dr. Bob says:

        Grammar is correct…BOTH the candidates AND their campaigns


        1. Republican Freeloader says:

          Grammar is correct?? Jeese Bobby! Your rebuttal isn’t what you said in your original statement and everyone who reads it will come to the same conclusion. You might know what you meant but nobody else does. If you are a true republican like myself, then it’s best you switch to the otherside. You are a disgrace to the GOP!

    2. Ned Shneablee says:

      By fair you mean no counting the votes in Allegheny or Philadelphia Counties.

      1. Dr. Bob Suckemoff, MD says:

        I wouldn’t let you work on cadavers.

  5. Samuel says:

    It will be extremely close but I believe Lamb will pull it out.

  6. gulag Pittsburgh says:

    No matter which clown wins GOP nomination, they will lose in general election.

  7. Please No Bartos says:

    No one likes Bartos. He is the only one who has run statewide already, so he should be the best known amongst the Republican primary voters, yet he finishes 3rd. He is boring, has no really policy issues that are unique, and is a total phony who does everything as a political calculation.

  8. Erie Politico says:

    If Kathy Barnette is able to navigate the gauntlet of the PAGOP to win the primary, she would be a very competitive statewide candidate in the general election. Bartos is not inspiring and if it’s a re-match of Parnell v. Lamb it would seem to break Lamb’s direction. It is likely Lamb will continue to play the long game and will appeal to the moderate base of the democratic party.

  9. Peter Francis Kane says:

    I believe that the top two Democrat Senate candidates for the primary are Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman and Congressman Conor Lamb. With Fetterman leading the primary polls, he would win the nomination if the primary were held today. All the other Democrats are foils of each other. In terms of the Republican primary, I see Sean Parnell earning Trump’s endorsement ahead of the primaries. When you earn Trump’s endorsement, you are likely to win the primaries if you campaign on his agenda of saving the United States of America.

  10. GoMarty says:

    You mean nobody is supporting Marty Rosenfeld?

    1. Commish says:

      Lamb will continue to climb in the polls as the race goes on to 2022 and he will win the Democratic Nomination in May.

      1. Mitch says:

        Lamb is a Chris Dush.

        1. Dr.+Bob says:


          1. Frank says:

            Mitch = douche

  11. The Huckabeast says:

    I suspect the Democratic race is going to be close between Fetterman and Lamb, with Kenyatta possibly pulling votes away from Fetterman that could swing it to Lamb.

    On the Republican side, it will depend if the majority of primary voters want to follow what Trumpwants them to do or will they start breaking away to a more traditional candidate like Bartos. Also, will Toomey weigh in with an endorsement???

    1. Doomey says:

      A toomey endorsement would be the kiss of death in a Republican primary

  12. Can it be true? says:

    30 percent to 14 percent with 37 percent undecided is favorable to Fetterman. Trump still has a solid grip on 20 percent of the R’s which favors Parnell. Fetterman wins if Trump remains a factor in Pa Republican politics.

  13. Jimmy Clendennen says:

    Sean Gale gets my vote!

    1. Dr.+Bob says:


      1. Republican Freeloader says:

        It should have been the honorable Tim Murphy!

        1. Bono says:

          Tim Murphy honorable? Surely you jest!

Comments are closed.