Roll Call: Perry Ranked 7th Most Vulnerable House Incumbent

Scott Perry

Rep. Scott Perry (R-York) remains as one of the most vulnerable House incumbents according to this ratings outlet. 

On August 6, Roll Call named the York County Republican representing Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District as the 7th most vulnerable House incumbent seeking reelection in 2020. Perry moves up two spots from the previous rankings and remains the lone Pennsylvanian on the most recent top ten list. 

The article notes that although Trump would have carried Perry’s district in 2016 with the new boundaries, that Democrats are “anticipating a close House race,” because of the new boundaries that are not as GOP friendly, coupled with a challenger who carried these boundaries in his 2016 statewide bid. 

“This is just the second time Perry is running under the district’s present configuration, and his Democratic opponent, state Auditor Eugene DePasquale, narrowly carried the seat in his 2016 statewide race,” Stephanie Akin, Bridget Bowman, and Kate Ackley write for Roll Call. “Democrats believe they can make the case that Perry, a member of the hard-line conservative House Freedom Caucus, doesn’t fit the relatively new district. Perry has stepped up his fundraising in recent quarters, but DePasquale has nearly matched him in cash on hand.” 

The fourth term Congressman edged out Democrat George Scott by just over 2.5 points in 2018 in the newly drawn district with boundaries that voted for President Donald Trump by 10 points in 2016. Perry’s latest bid was his closest victory since being voted into Congress in 2012 in the old conservative 4th District.

Inside Elections Nathan Gonzalez’s most recent House ratings released on August 7 places the race as “Tilt Republican.”

Roll Call’s ratings in May November had Perry listed as the 9th most vulnerable House incumbent seeking reelection in 2020. 

The complete Roll Call article can be found here.

8 Responses

  1. For sure Fitzpatrick is going to win in Bucks with the really strong suburban sentiment against Biden in November 2020. Scott Perry can never be defeated because there is a Trump wave which the polls seems trending toward lately.

  2. I love me some Scott Perry. Him and my good buddy Doug “big pecker” Mastrianooooo are the best.

  3. Is Eugene going to vote in Congress from his basement with his trusty light saber?

  4. Winners come November: all congressional incumbents in PA except Fitzpatrick and Lamb.

    The trend will continue with western PA going more red and SE going more blue.

  5. For sure Fitzpatrick is going to be defeated in Bucks with the really strong suburban sentiment against Trump in November 2020. Scott Perry can only be defeated in a Biden wave which the polls seems trending toward lately.

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