In the latest poll released by The Trafalgar Group, the Republican candidates for U.S. Senate and governor have closed their deficits considerably as the last days of summer fade away.
GOP senate candidate Mehmet Oz finds himself closer than any other poll conducted since the end of the primary season, trailing Democratic candidate John Fetterman by just 1.8 percent.
In the chase for the governor’s mansion, Republican state senator Doug Mastriano trails Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro by just a pair of percentage points.
Both deficits fall within the poll’s 2.9-point margin of error.
Fetterman leads Oz, 47.7% to 45.9% – the closest that the celebrity doctor has been in a poll since an Emerson College poll (Aug 22-23) found him trailing by four points. The PoliticsPA moving average of 17 polls still shows Fetterman, the state’s lieutenant governor, holding a +9.7 percentage point advantage, while the most recent five polls place him at +9.3%.
Mastriano trails Shapiro by a 47.4% to 45.4% margin – the tightest the race has been since a Cygnal poll in mid-July showing the Franklin County state senator down by 2.9 points. The PoliticsPA moving average of 14 polls still shows Shapiro holding an +8.2 percentage point advantage, while the most recent five polls place him at the same percentage difference.
The Trafalgar Group poll was conducted September 13-15 with 1,078 respondents and a margin of error of +/- 2.9%