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WaPo: Perry Seat Listed on Top 10 Most Likely To Flip

The Washington Post’s Amber Phillips placed Rep. Scott Perry (R-York) as the seventh most likely House seat to flip in the 2020 election in their first rankings this cycle. He is the lone Pennsylvania Congressman on the list released last week. 

The article details Perry being placed on the “Top 10 House Races of 2020” in large part because of redistricting, placing the conservative Republican in the House Freedom Caucus in a less GOP friendly seat, and narrowly winning reelection last year. 

The fourth term Congressman edged out Democrat George Scott by just over 2.5 points in 2018 in the newly drawn district with boundaries that voted for President Donald Trump by 10 points in 2016. Perry’s latest bid was his closest victory since being voted into Congress in 2012 in the old conservative 4th District. 

The article also points to the Democrats boasting about Auditor General Eugene DePasquale’s bid for the seat, who they say is a “uniquely strong candidate” and specifically cited his victory for state auditor in 2016.

There are a lot of questions that remain unanswered about the 2020 race for the 10th District. For the first time since winning a seat in Congress, Perry is facing a primary challenger in Bobby Jeffries, a millenial logistics director for a health and wellness firm, who accuses Perry of being insufficiently “Pro-Trump.” 

On the Democratic side, two candidates have officially filed with the FEC thus far. DePasquale and attorney and author Tom Brier, have announced bids to challenge Perry. Brier, 27 years old, has raised $200,000 in the election cycle-to-date, thus far, while DePasquale’s first campaign finance report won’t be due until October since he filed in July. 

Earlier this month, the Cook Political Report moved Perry’s race from Lean Republican to Toss Up. Roll Call currently has Perry’s race as Tilt Republican

The Washington Post ratings can be found here.

9 Responses

  1. Brier is not being given a proper chance here. Eugene may be seasoned but there is a very powerful surging youth vote out there and a yearning for new leadership that it is very possible Brier may tap into.

  2. Eugene’s personal life and the story about his divorce will come out and his campaign will implode.

  3. Most likely a poopy choice here because for me is most likely will win Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional district in 2020

  4. Scott Perry’s District is likely to flip because he hasn’t done anything for his district – he can’t run town halls, and he doesn’t show his face anywhere besides businesses whose employees are required to be there. He is too busy trying to appease Republican donors and trying to be a Freedom Caucus hero instead of working to help people.

    1. Perry does a great deal more then a lot of members have from PA. Are you mad b/c he does bring graft in to his district like Schuster did? Or that he doesn’t live in DC and comes back home almost everyday? Sorry, you are pissed b/c he’s not a corrupt hack like many politicians are. I think there a lot more focus on this turning then is reality, like Lloyd Smucker’s race in ’16.

      Honestly, the left think they have a chance here? Bahahahahahaha. I laugh VERY VREY hard. They’d be better spending time in Smucker district’s to be completely honest.

    2. Agreed, Perry’s done very little, if anything for us. And his refusal to leave the Freedom Caucus will cost him his job.

  5. most likely a good choice here people because for Joe Biden is most likely will win Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District in 2020.

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