Pat Toomey leads Katie McGinty by just a single point in the PA Senate race.
That’s the conclusion of Public Policy Polling latest survey, which found Toomey with 42% and McGinty at 41%. 17% are unsure.
These results are almost identical to PPP’s findings last June.
There is quite a large gender gap in this race as Toomey leads 51% to 36% with men while McGinty is ahead 45% to 34% with women.
McGinty has the advantage with moderates (45/33) yet Toomey is the choice of independents (37/31).
There are also racial and age divides in the Senate contest.
Whites favor Toomey (48/35) while African Americans (71/13) and other races (49/25) prefer McGinty. The Democrat also has the support of 18 to 29 year-olds (46/35) and 30 to 45 year-olds (39/32). The GOP incumbent is ahead with 46 to 64 year-olds (50/40) and 65 years and older (46/41).
It seems that quite like the presidential race, neither Senate candidate is particularly popular. For example, Sen. Toomey’s approval rating sits at just 32% against 42% disapproval rating. McGinty, on the other hand, has only a 25% favorable rating alongside a 37% unfavorable rating.
Given that two of the last three polls have shown McGinty in the lead, it appears that while Toomey is still slightly ahead, his Democratic opponent is gaining steam.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 1,505 likely Pennsylvania voters from July 29th to 31st. The margin of error is +/- 2.5%.
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20 Responses
Agree with Ha3. Those soccer Moms are not going to vote for Trump. And there aren’t many fat slob white supremacists who can afford to live there.
Plus – Hillary is going to CRUSH IT in Philadelphia.
There aren’t enough racist stupid idiots in the Philly suburbs to carry the day for Toomey.
#OneTermGardenGnome
Easy race to figure out. Just tell me if Hillary wins state by more than 250,000. If so , Toomey loses. If not, he wins. Suburbs of Philly are key. If Trump does better there than expected, Toomey holds on.
Toomey is only good at two things obstruction and doing the bidding of special interests. He is having a hard time with the decision about supporting Trump because he can’t make any decisions because he is an obstructionist and his special interests bosses don’t like Trump either. Throw the garden gnome out of the Senate this November. Vote for McGinty who will give the middle class a voice in the Senate.
In my opinion, Donald Trump would help Pat Toomey but Pragmatic Pat Toomey is a snob (Harvard, you know) and looks down on the multi-billionaire who may well win Pennsylvania.
RepublicanPAvoter- I feel your pain. Having supported Toomey since his initial run against Arlen S- and bought off on republican establishment bs since 2010- I’d rather have a D that says what she means than more crap from Toomey. Resigned to Clinton and a dem senate- dasche, Reid and Schummer aren’t favorites but they can lead and stand for something. Can’t say that about Boehnet- weasel McConnell and little boy Ryan. Better Dems than republican establishment, tea party or Trump- unless he starts acting like a leader and not a buffoon.
Has #One-Term-Toomey conceded yet?
jpaul – I fearvthatbyoubare correct. And I fear it not because I like Toomey (what’s there to like?), but because Hillary will have another D Senator.
Agree with David D/- but let’s
Modify- McGinty needs to completely align with
Clinton– and tie Toomey to Boehner/McConnell failed leadership. Toomey’s base is vulnerable on both leadership and his inexcusable stand on veteran/military issues
Even weak Katie should win this one going away
Toomey is a pathetic, do-nothing garden-gnome. He is trying to have it both ways on Trump. It’s not gonna work.
Toomey’s lead with independents is the key here. Pivotal number and desperately needed to win in November. This is all about how he handles the Trump matter and showing this group he is not a “Republican Party or Bust” kind of guy. The independent numbers need to be big for Toomey to win.
Has #ShadyKatie conceded yet?
Mrs. Toomey does not want Toomey.
The women of this country do not want toomey
So Toomey has $27.1 million
McGinty has $14 million
To the Repub Bot —
Measured by campaign coffers alone, Toomey has raked in more than five times McGinty’s haul, $20 million to her $3.8 million.
But outside money is evening out the playing field: Liberal groups backing McGinty or attacking Toomey have spent $10.2 million, about one-and-a-half times the $7.1 million paid out singing Toomey’s praises or savaging McGinty
Our outside groups are outspending Toomey’s by enormous amounts, and this is all we have to show for it!?!?!?!?!?
Big vote out of Philly
Hillary and Katie WIN
So she wants to lose? Her best bet is to give up on crooked hillary and jump aboard the great train herself!
McGinty has to tie Toomey with Trump