PA-Sen: Quinnipiac Poll: McGinty 47% Toomey 44%

Katie_McGintyIt’s pretty much official. For the moment at least, Katie McGinty is ahead in the PA Senate race.

That’s according to the latest Quinnipiac Poll, which has McGinty at 47% and incumbent GOP Senator Pat Toomey 44%.

Last month, Quinnipiac had Toomey ten points ahead of his Democratic opponent.

Additionally, McGinty has now lead five of the last six polls. Those surveys found McGinty +4, McGinty +2, McGinty +1, Toomey +1 and McGinty +7.

There are significant gender, educational and racial gaps in this race. For example, McGinty leads 52% to 38% among women while Toomey is ahead 51% to 41% with men.

The Democrat also has a large advantage with nonwhite respondents (71/12) whereas the incumbent is favored by whites (51/42). McGinty actually is ahead with white women (46/45), however, so Toomey’s support depends on white men (59/37).

McGinty is ahead among those with a college degree, 49% to 45%, while Sen. Toomey leads among those without one, 58% to 34%.

Finally, as you would expected, McGinty has the advantage with Democrats (85/8) and Toomey is favored by Republicans (85/7). The Senator gets the edge with independents (46/44).

“Is Katie McGinty benefitting from Hillary Clinton’s 10-point lead over Donald Trump in Pennsylvania? Is she engaging Sen. Pat Toomey in her own right, or is it a little bit of both?” asked Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. “Any way you cut it, this first-timer is giving the incumbent a run for his money.”

This survey was conducted by Quinnipiac University using live interviewers calling land lines and cell phones from July 30th to August 7th. They contacted 815 likely voters in Pennsylvania. The margin of error is +/- 3.4%.

August 11th, 2016 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Senate, Top Stories | 11 Comments

11 thoughts on “PA-Sen: Quinnipiac Poll: McGinty 47% Toomey 44%”

  1. Napoleon says:

    What i do not realize is actually how you’re not really much more well-liked than you might be right now. You’re so intelligent. You realize thus significantly relating to this subject, made me personally consider it from numerous varied angles. Its like women and men aren’t fascinated unless it’s one thing to accomplish with Lady gaga! Your own stuffs great. Always maintain it up!

  2. Grammy says:

    Go Katie! Get rid of this obstructionist who won’t vote on ANYTHING in the Senate to which he was elected! Lets get rid of these guys who have been holding this country hostage for years! Lets get something done in this country for a change!

  3. PA Grandparent says:

    Has #One-Term-Patty conceded yet?

  4. Idratherbefishingwithric says:

    I always wonder what happens to these people that predict gloom and doom for candidates and electoral landsides (ie PA Parent) when their candidate looses.

  5. In Josh Morrow voice ..................... says:

    “Hope Johnny Doc appreciates what I am doing for him!”

  6. FYI says:

    Go Katie!

    Katie has now taken the lead according to the RCP average of polls:



  7. David Diano says:

    PA Parent-

    Yes. She’s conceded that Toomey is getting his ass kicked in November.

  8. PA Parent says:

    Has #ShadyKatie conceded yet?

  9. anonymous says:

    Thank you Donald Trump!

  10. Netflix and Hill says:

    Imagine if the Dems actually put up a good candidate. Toomey would be loosing by double digits!

  11. Owned By Bibi Sheldon Waltons and Kochs says:

    Welp. The whole “law enforcement and Sanctuary Cities” shtick is falling flat to Trump Mild’s eagerly being Wall Street’s Waterboy and attacking on Planned Parenthood. Keep it up Katie! Pat Toomey can run from Trump all he wants, but it doesn’t matter.

    “Trump Mild” is fitting for him. Can’t win on Economics and the Catholic Church can’t influence elections the way they did in the 1980s/90s so his one trick pony is “law enforcement.”

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