Biden leads Trump by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the Keystone State. This is an improvement for the former VP in comparison to Quinnipiac’s last poll released in early-September, that showed Biden with an 8 point lead over Trump, 52-to-44.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Quinnipiac University favors Democrats by an average of 0.2% and has an overall B+ grade.
— Quinnipiac University Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) October 7, 2020
A majority of Pennsylvania likely voters view Biden favorably, while a majority of voters in the state view Trump unfavorably.
51% have a favorable opinion of Biden, while 42% view him unfavorably. 41% have a favorable opinion of Trump, while 55% view him unfavorably. Trump’s favorability rating is identical to the previous Quinnipiac poll, while Biden made improvements in comparison to the previous poll when 46% viewed the former VP favorably, while 45% viewed him unfavorably. Trump’s job approval rating is slightly worse than his favorability rating. 41% approve of Trump’s job performance as president, while 56% said that they disapprove.
Biden has a double digit advantage over Trump on who would do a better job handling the response to the coronavirus (57-to-38), who would do a better job handling health care (56-to-39), and who would do a better job handling Supreme Court nominations (53-to-42). Trump has the advantage over Biden who who would do a better job handling the economy (50-to-46).
Numerous polls have been released over the past week that show Biden leading in the state, although this poll shows the largest margin for the Democratic presidential candidate.
A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Reuters-Ipsos poll of likely voters shows Biden leading by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. A CNBC/Change Research poll released on Tuesday shows Biden carrying a 4 point lead, 50-to-46, among likely voters in the state.
Two GOP leaning polls released last week also have Biden leading the race, although the polling is tighter. A poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC, commissioned by Trafalgar Group, released last week showed Biden leading by just over 2 points, 48.1%-to-45.9%, with likely voters in the state. A Federalist/TIPP poll of likely voters released last week has Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 49-to-44.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 7.1 points in Pennsylvania.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,211 Pennsylvania likely voters from Oct. 1-5. The poll has a margin of error of +/-2.8%.
The full Pennsylvania crosstabs for the Quinnipiac University Poll can be found here.