Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Biden 51, Trump 44
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 7 points in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Reuters-Ipsos poll.
51% of likely voters said they will be voting for Biden, while 44% of likely voters said they will be voting for Trump. Reuter-Ipsos also released polling from five other battleground states as well on Monday. Biden’s largest lead is in Michigan where he leads Trump by 8 points, 51-to-43, while his lead in Wisconsin is identical to his lead in PA, 51-to-44. Biden leads Trump by 4 points in Florida, 49-to-45, and 2 points in Arizona, 48-to-46. Biden and Trump are tied at 47-to-47 in North Carolina.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Ipsos favors Democrats by an average of 0.4% and has an overall B- grade.
Biden has added on to his lead in the state in comparison to polling from Reuters-Ipsos conducted one week ago where the former VP led Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45.
Following the trend of most polls this cycle in the state, most support Biden on handling the coronavirus pandemic, while Trump has the advantage on managing the economy.
51% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic, while 42% said Trump would be better. 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy, while 45% said Biden would be better handling the matter.
Numerous polls have been released in October that show Biden leading in the state, although this margin varies by the pollster.
A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. A CNBC/Change Research poll released last Tuesday shows Biden carrying a 4 point lead, 50-to-46, among likely voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll released on Sunday, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. Biden’s largest lead in recent polling comes from Quinnipiac University that shows the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state.
Two GOP leaning polls released in late September also have Biden leading the race, although the polling is tighter. A poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC, commissioned by Trafalgar Group, released last week showed Biden leading by just over 2 points, 48.1%-to-45.9%, with likely voters in the state. A Federalist/TIPP poll of likely voters released last week has Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 49-to-44.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 7.3 points in Pennsylvania.
This poll, surveying 1,002 adults, including 622 likely voters in Pennsylvania, collected data between Oct. 6-11, has a margin of error of +/-5%.
The article from Reuters on the poll can be found here.