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Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Biden 51, Trump 44

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 7 points in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Reuters-Ipsos poll

51% of likely voters said they will be voting for Biden, while 44% of likely voters said they will be voting for Trump. Reuter-Ipsos also released polling from five other battleground states as well on Monday. Biden’s largest lead is in Michigan where he leads Trump by 8 points, 51-to-43, while his lead in Wisconsin is identical to his lead in PA, 51-to-44. Biden leads Trump by 4 points in Florida, 49-to-45, and 2 points in Arizona, 48-to-46. Biden and Trump are tied at 47-to-47 in North Carolina. 

According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Ipsos favors Democrats by an average of 0.4% and has an overall B- grade. 

Biden has added on to his lead in the state in comparison to polling from Reuters-Ipsos conducted one week ago where the former VP led Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45. 

Following the trend of most polls this cycle in the state, most support Biden on handling the coronavirus pandemic, while Trump has the advantage on managing the economy. 

51% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic, while 42% said Trump would be better. 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy, while 45% said Biden would be better handling the matter. 

Numerous polls have been released in October that show Biden leading in the state, although this margin varies by the pollster.

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. A CNBC/Change Research poll released last Tuesday shows Biden carrying a 4 point lead, 50-to-46, among likely voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll released on Sunday, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. Biden’s largest lead in recent polling comes from Quinnipiac University that shows the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. 

Two GOP leaning polls released in late September also have Biden leading the race, although the polling is tighter. A poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC, commissioned by Trafalgar Group, released last week showed Biden leading by just over 2 points, 48.1%-to-45.9%, with likely voters in the state. A Federalist/TIPP poll of likely voters released last week has Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 49-to-44.

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 7.3 points in Pennsylvania.

This poll, surveying 1,002 adults, including 622 likely voters in Pennsylvania, collected data between Oct. 6-11, has a margin of error of +/-5%.

The article from Reuters on the poll can be found here.

5 Responses

  1. Biden is running away with Pa. This puts Fitzpatrick’s candidacy on political life support.

  2. When is the Republican House majority party going to take action to remove criminal child abuser GOP State Rep Aaron Bernstine?

    In one video obtained by the USA TODAY Network, Aaron Bernstine, R-10, New Beaver, Lawrence County, is behind the camera, but his hand is shown holding a cigar and offering it to his son.

    When the young boy takes a puff, Bernstine tells him to “hit it harder” and “breathe in,” followed by a woman’s voice saying, “No.”

    A second video has Bernstine again off camera asking his son, “What are we going to chase in Nashville?” The boy replies in a whisper, “Cadillac p—ssy,” using a vulgar term for vagina.

  • Understanding that basic education funding should/will be first, what should be the next highest priority for the General Assembly?

    • Raising The Minimum Wage (25%)
    • Legalizing Adult-Use Marijuana (24%)
    • None of the above. Something Else. (20%)
    • Economic Development (14%)
    • Higher Education (8%)
    • Public Transportation (8%)
    • Workforce Opportunities and Innovation (2%)

    Total Voters: 51

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