Former Vice President Joe Biden has a five point advantage over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Hill/HarrisX polling.
51% of likely voters in the state said they are supporting Biden, while 46% said they are backing Trump.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, HarrisX has an overall C grade.
Numerous polls have been released in October that show Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. The former VP’s lead in this poll is in-line with the Real Clear Politics average.
A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. A CNBC/Change Research poll released last Tuesday shows Biden carrying a 4 point lead, 50-to-46, among likely voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll released last Sunday, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released yesterday show Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters in the state. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state shows Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52-to-44.
Biden’s largest lead in recent polling comes from Quinnipiac University that shows the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from Trafalgar Group that shows Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state.
A trio of GOP leaning polls released in late September, plus an additional poll released in mid-October show Biden leading by just a few points in the state.
An Insider Advantage phone poll of likely voters commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, in the state shows Biden leading Trump by just over 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%. A poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC, conducted by Trafalgar Group, showed Biden leading by just over 2 points, 48.1%-to-45.9%, with likely voters in the state. A Federalist/TIPP poll of likely voters has Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 49-to-44.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 5.6 points in Pennsylvania.
This overall poll, surveying 992 likely Pennsylvania voters, collected data online between Oct. 12-15.
The story from The Hill on this poll can be found here.