The Hill/HarrisX Poll: Biden 51, Trump 46

Former Vice President Joe Biden has a five point advantage over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Hill/HarrisX polling.

51% of likely voters in the state said they are supporting Biden, while 46% said they are backing Trump. 

According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, HarrisX has an overall C grade. 

Numerous polls have been released in October that show Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. The former VP’s lead in this poll is in-line with the Real Clear Politics average.

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. A CNBC/Change Research poll released last Tuesday shows Biden carrying a 4 point lead, 50-to-46, among likely voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll released last Sunday, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released yesterday show Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters in the state. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state shows Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52-to-44.

Biden’s largest lead in recent polling comes from Quinnipiac University that shows the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from Trafalgar Group that shows Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state.

A trio of GOP leaning polls released in late September, plus an additional poll released in mid-October show Biden leading by just a few points in the state. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll of likely voters commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, in the state shows Biden leading Trump by just over 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%. A poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC, conducted by Trafalgar Group, showed Biden leading by just over 2 points, 48.1%-to-45.9%, with likely voters in the state. A Federalist/TIPP poll of likely voters has Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 49-to-44.

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 5.6 points in Pennsylvania.

This overall poll, surveying 992 likely Pennsylvania voters, collected data online between Oct. 12-15. 

The story from The Hill on this poll can be found here.

October 18th, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 4 Comments

4 thoughts on “The Hill/HarrisX Poll: Biden 51, Trump 46”

  1. Every Trump Supporter On This Site says:

    Something something Socialism something something MAGA.

  2. gulag Pittsburgh says:

    Trump is a traitor to America. Trump is run by Putin to whom Trump owes $400 million. Trump is also the biggest moron ever to be president.

  3. GOP morals says:

    Is Republican House Majority Leader Kerry Benninghoff going to do anything about serial philanderer and child abuser GOP State Rep Aaron Bernstine from the Pennsylvania House of Representatives?

    In one video obtained by the USA TODAY Network, Aaron Bernstine, R-10, New Beaver, Lawrence County, is behind the camera, but his hand is shown holding a cigar and offering it to his son.

    When the young boy takes a puff, Bernstine tells him to “hit it harder” and “breathe in,” followed by a woman’s voice saying, “No.”

    A second video has Bernstine again off camera asking his son, “What are we going to chase in Nashville?” The boy replies in a whisper, “Cadillac p—ssy,” using a vulgar term for vagina.

  4. Thomas Paine says:

    Trump is defeated. R’s are trying to keep Senate. Horrible debate performance by Ernst in Iowa was a debacle—sits on Ag Committee and could not tell price of corn. Bad. Not good. What are you doing during committee meetings? Watching movies on your IPhone? Sending texts?

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