CNN/SSRS Poll: Biden 53, Trump 43
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a double digit advantage over President Donald Trump among likely voters in Pennsylvania, according to the latest CNN poll conducted by SSRS.
Biden leads Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%, among likely voters in the Keystone State, while 2% said they were supporting Libertarian presidential candidate Jo Jorgensen, 1% said another candidate, and 1% remain undecided.
Biden leads Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, among registered voters polled, while 2% support Jorgensen, 1% said other, 1% said none of the three options, and 1% remain undecided.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, SSRS polling favors Democrats by an average of 1.2% and has an overall B/C grade.
Trump’s job approval rating is under water among likely voters and registered voters polled in the state. 44% of likely voters approve of Trump’s handling of the presidency, while 54% disapprove, and 2% have no opinion. 46% of registered voters approve of Trump’s handling of the presidency, while 52% disapprove, and 2% have no opinion.
Biden has an advantage over Trump among likely voters on who would better handle the following topics: Response to the coronavirus outbreak (54-to-42), racial inequality in the U.S. (58-to-39), nominations to the Supreme Court (51-to-45), will unite the country and not divide it (58-to-35), has a clear plan for solving the country’s problems (50-to-42), will keep Americans safe from harm (51-to-46), and cares about people like you (55-to-42).
Trump has the edge over Biden among likely voters on the following topics: the economy (50-to-48), has the stamina and sharpness to be president (48-to-46).
Polling released in October has consistently shown Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. This latest poll shows Biden’s lead in the state is larger than the current Real Clear Politics average.
A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College pollof likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state shows Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52-to-44. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45, among likely voters in the state. A Trafalgar Group poll showed Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%.
Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from a Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from CNBC/Change Research that shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state.
Two GOP friendly polls released since last week showed Biden leading in the state as well, but by a smaller margin.
An Insider Advantage phone poll of likely voters commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, in the state shows Biden leading Trump by just over 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.8 points in Pennsylvania.
This SSRS polling surveyed 925 registered voters, 843 of them likely voters, in the state from Oct. 15-20. The polling for likely voters has a margin of error of +/-4%. The polling for registered voters has a margin of error of +/-3.9%.
The Pennsylvania crosstabs can be found here.