Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by several points in Pennsylvania, according to this latest poll.
A new USA Today/Suffolk University survey of likely voters in the Keystone State shows Biden leading Trump by just over 7 points, 48.6%-to-42.4%, while 1.2% said Libertarian presidential candidate Jo Jorgensen, 1.4% said some other candidate, 2.6% who refused to answer, and 3.8% who said they were undecided.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Suffolk University polling favors Democrats by an average of 0.6% and has an overall A grade.
Trump’s job approval rating and favorability rating are both 10 points under water in this latest poll. 43% said that they approve the way Trump is handling his job as president, while 53% disapprove. 41.6% have a favorable opinion of Trump, while 51.6% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 6.8% are undecided.
Both members of the Democratic presidential ticket had net positive favorability ratings, while Vice President Mike Pence’s was slightly under water.
49% have a favorable opinion of Biden, while 43.6% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 7.4% are undecided. 46.2% have a favorable opinion of Sen. Kamala Harris, while 43.2% have an unfavorable view of her, and 9.6% are undecided. 42.6% have a favorable opinion of Pence, while 49.8% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 6.4% are undecided.
Polling released in October has consistently shown Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. This latest poll show’s Biden’s lead is a few points larger than the Real Clear Politics average.
A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. A CNBC/Change Research poll released last Tuesday shows Biden carrying a 4 point lead, 50-to-46, among likely voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll released last Sunday, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state shows Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52-to-44. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45, among likely voters in the state. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state.
Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from Quinnipiac University that shows the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from the Trafalgar Group that shows Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state.
Two GOP friendly polls released since last week showed Biden leading in the state as well, but by a smaller margin.
An Insider Advantage phone poll of likely voters commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, in the state shows Biden leading Trump by just over 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.2 points in Pennsylvania.
This overall poll, surveying 500 likely voters in Pennsylvania, collected data between Oct. 15-19, has a margin of error of +/-4.4%.
The crosstabs for the poll can be found here.