Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 5 points in Pennsylvania, according to polling commissioned by a Democratic super PAC.
American Bridge, which describes itself as “the largest research, video tracking, and rapid response organization in Democratic politics,” commissioned a poll of voters in Pennsylvania, conducted by Public Policy Polling, that shows 51% would vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 46% said they’d support Trump, and 4% said they were not sure.
According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, PPP favors Democrats by an average of 0.3% and has an overall B grade.
Polling released in October has consistently shown Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. This latest poll is in-line with the current Real Clear Politics average.
A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45, among likely voters in the state. A Trafalgar Grouppoll showed Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%.
Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from a Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from CNBC/Change Research that shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state.
Two GOP friendly polls released this month also showed Biden leading in the state as well, but by a smaller margin.
An Insider Advantage phone poll of likely voters commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, in the state shows Biden leading Trump by just over 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state.
The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 5.1 points in Pennsylvania.
This poll, surveying 890 Pennsylvania voters, collected data between Oct. 21-22.
The full data can be found here.
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3 Responses
Trump will save Ivanka only if she “pleases” him.
Trump loves nobody but himself. He will throw his own kids under the bus when NY AG comes for him over taxes.
Trump botched Covid19 big time! Everybody aside from the Trump devotees knows that and, more importantly, the swing voters not dedicated to a political party find Trump a political turn off as Bucks suburbs are running away from Trump in droves. Swing voters really don’t want to see poor people treated badly at the borders because it reveals our national character if we act that way. Also, all of us know that the hungry immigrant with no money, no food, no prospects could be us. On top of all that, Covid19 has folks lined up to go to the grocery store, missing tailgating at PSU, Eagles and Steelers and a lot of family events missed. All this equals Trump and Republican loss. Thinking people know Hillary would not have botched covid19.