Gravis Poll: Biden 51, Trump 44

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 7 points in Pennsylvania, according to this new poll. 

According to the latest Gravis Marketing poll, 51% of likely voters in the state said that they’d vote for Biden if the election were held today, while 44% said that they’d vote for Trump, and 5% are uncertain. 

According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Gravis Marketing favors Democrats by an average of 0.9% and has an overall C grade. 

Trump receives mixed reviews on his job performance as president, while a majority of likely voters view Biden favorably. 

48% strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s job performance, while 49% strongly or somewhat disapprove of his job performance, and 4% are uncertain. 58% have a very or somewhat favorable opinion on Biden, while 39% have a very or somewhat unfavorable view of him, and 3% are uncertain. 

43% polled described their political ideology as either very or somewhat conservative, while 22% said they were either very or somewhat liberal, and 35% said they were moderate. 

Polling released in October has consistently shown Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. This latest poll is close with the current Real Clear Politics average.  

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45, among likely voters in the state. A Trafalgar Grouppoll showed Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Friday morning showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. 

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from a Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from CNBC/Change Research that shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. 

Two GOP friendly polls and one Democratic PAC backed poll released this month also showed Biden leading in the state as well, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll of likely voters commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, in the state shows Biden leading Trump by just over 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. 

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 5.1 points in Pennsylvania. 

This poll, surveying 602 registered, likely voters in Pennsylvania, collected data on Oct. 23, has a margin of error of +/- 4%. 

The full survey can be found here.

October 25th, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 2 Comments

2 thoughts on “Gravis Poll: Biden 51, Trump 44”

  1. The Huckabeast says:

    I was so disappointed 4 years ago when Trump won PA. He’s still going to win in the rural areas, but not with 70% plus of the votes in rural areas – more around 65% or a little less this time around which won’t allow him to eke out a win in PA. Then, the idiots that bought into his nonsense and only supported him because they liked that he upsets “the liberals” need to search there souls and realize the damage to our country they enabled by voting for Trump.

  2. gulag Pittsburgh says:

    Trump is a disgusting evil liar who has no loyalty to anybody or anything. Trump will sell you out or throw you under the bus in a heartbeat (yours not his, as he has no heart).

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