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Poll: Biden 52, Trump 44

Former Vice President Joe Biden has extended his lead over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to this latest battleground survey. 

New polling from the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal of likely voters in the Keystone State shows Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. Biden leads Trump by 10 points in Michigan, 52%-to-42%, and 9 points in Wisconsin, 53%-to-44%. 

Biden’s lead shrinks by 1 point, 51%-to-44%, among registered voters in Pennsylvania. 

This latest poll is an improvement for Biden in the state in comparison to their battleground survey conducted in mid-September. Biden held a 4 point lead, 49%-to-45%, among likely voters in that poll, while leading by 5 points, 49%-to-44%, among registered voters. 

According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, YouGov favors Democrats by an average of 0.4% and has an overall B grade. 

44% of registered voters in the state “strongly” or “somewhat” approve of Trump’s overall handling of the presidency, while 55% “strongly” or “somewhat” disapprove of Trump’s job performance. Although Trump’s job approval rating in Pennsylvania is underwater, it is higher than the other two states polled. 

While Trump has consistently received his strongest numbers on the economy, this poll shows that Trump is under water on the matter in the state. 

46% of registered voters “strongly” or “somewhat” approve of Trump’s handling of the economy, while 52% disapprove. In their previous poll conducted in late-September, 46% of registered voters “strongly” or “somewhat” approve of Trump’s handling of the economy, while 50% disapprove.

Trump’s approval rating on the economy was one point higher in Michigan and 2 points higher in Wisconsin in comparison to Pennsylvania in this latest poll.

51% of registered voters said that Biden would better handle race relations as president, while 40% said Trump would better handle race relations. 

47% of registered voters think the Senate should vote to confirm Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, while 41% said that the Senate should vote not to confirm her, and 13% are not sure. 

Polling released in October has consistently shown Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. This latest poll shows Biden with a lead that is a few points larger than the current Real Clear Politics average.  

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45, among likely voters in the state. A Trafalgar Grouppoll showed Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Friday morning showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. A Gravis marketing poll of likely voters in the state released on Saturday showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. 

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from a Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from CNBC/Change Research that shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. 

Two GOP friendly polls and one Democratic PAC backed poll released this month also showed Biden leading in the state as well, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll of likely voters commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, in the state shows Biden leading Trump by just over 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. 

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.8 points in Pennsylvania. 

This poll surveyed 800 registered voters, including 669 likely voters, collected data between October 13-21. The registered voter polling has a margin of error of +/-4.2%.

The full battleground survey can be found here.

October 26th, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 1 Comment

One thought on “Poll: Biden 52, Trump 44”

  1. truth says:

    Trump is getting spanked. Time to send in the Skank.

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