Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Biden 50, Trump 45

Former Vice President Joe Biden maintains a few point advantage over President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Reuters-Ipsos poll

50% of likely voters said they will be voting for Biden, while 45% of likely voters said they will be voting for Trump. Their poll released last week showed Biden leading by 4 points, 49%-to-45%, among likely voters in the Keystone State. 

Reuters-Ipsos also released polling from five other battleground states on Monday as well. Biden’s largest lead is in Wisconsin where he leads Trump by 9 points, 53%-to-44%. Biden leads Trump by 7 points in Michigan, 51%-to-44%. Biden leads Trump by 4 points in Florida, 50%-to-46%, and holds a 3 point advantage, 49%-to-46%, in both Arizona and North Carolina. 

According to the analysts at FiveThirtyEight, Ipsos favors Democrats by an average of 0.4% and has an overall B- grade. 

Biden remains as the preferred candidate to handle the coronavirus pandemic, while Trump has the advantage on managing the economy in the Pennsylvania polling. 

50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic, while 42% said that Trump would be better. 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy, while 43% said Biden would be better handling the matter. 

21% polled from Pennsylvania said they already had voted. 

Polling released in October has consistently shown Biden leading in the state, although the margin varies by the pollster. This latest poll is consistent with the current Real Clear Politics average.  

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Biden leading Trump by 4 points, 49-to-45, among likely voters in the state. A Trafalgar Grouppoll showed Biden leading Trump by just over 2 points, 47.4%-to-45.1%, among likely voters in the state. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Friday morning showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. A Gravis marketing poll of likely voters in the state released on Saturday showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. Polling also released on Monday from the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. 

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from a Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. Biden’s slimmest lead among recent public polling was from CNBC/Change Research that shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. 

Two GOP friendly polls and one Democratic PAC backed poll released this month also showed Biden leading in the state as well, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll of likely voters commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, in the state shows Biden leading Trump by just over 3 points, 45.8%-to-42.6%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. 

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 4.8 points in Pennsylvania. 

This poll, surveying 1,001 adults, including 653 likely voters in Pennsylvania, collected data between Oct. 20-26, has a margin of error of +/-4%. 

The article from Reuters on the latest poll can be found here.

October 26th, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 2 Comments

2 thoughts on “Reuters/Ipsos Poll: Biden 50, Trump 45”

  1. truth says:

    Hell the truth is worse than that. Trump is losing BIGLY. Who in their right mind could vote for such a steaming pile of orange shit?

  2. James Tuley Link says:

    Polls have little to no value and should be discontinued!! Who uses the polls as a measuring stick for voting in a small unprofessional procedure?

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