Univision Poll: Biden 50, Trump 45

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 5 points in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Univision/University of Houston polling

50% of registered voters polled said they support Biden for president, while 45% said they back Trump. 67% of Hispanic registered voters polled in the state said they plan to vote for Biden, while 25% said they plan to vote for Trump. 

Although Biden holds a 5 point lead over Trump in the state, a plurality of registered voters think that Trump can win re-election in the state over Biden.

43% of registered voters polled said that they think Trump will win re-election, while 42% said that Biden will win. 59% of Hispanic registered voters in the state think that Biden will the presidency, while 26% said that they think Trump will be reelected. 

Like most public polling of the race, Trump has the advantage on the economy, while Biden is the preferred candidate to handle the coronavirus. 

49% of registered voters in the state said that Trump would do a better job of fixing the economy, while 40% said Biden would do a better job. 51% said that Biden would do a better job of keeping the country safe from the coronavirus, while 38% said Trump would be better. 

Univision/University of Houston polled 723 Pennsylvania registered voters from Oct. 17-25 and has a margin of error of +/-3.64%. 401 Latino voters were polled in the survey and has a margin of error of +/-4.89%. 

The full crosstabs for the battleground survey can be found here

A majority of polling in October has consistently shown Biden leading Trump in the state. Biden’s lead in this poll is comparable to the current Real Clear Politics average.

A New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters shows Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. A CBS poll conducted by YouGov released one day after the NYT/Siena College poll also shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51-to-44, among likely voters. A Monmouth University shows the former VP leading the president by 12 points, 54-to-42, among registered voters in the state. An Emerson College poll of likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. 51% of likely voters in the state back Biden in the state, while 46% support Trump, according to The Hill/HarrisX polling released on Friday. A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, in the state. A Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. A CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21 showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. A Fox News poll of likely voters in the state released on Wednesday evening showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%. A CNBC/Change Research poll shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. A Morning Consult poll of likely voters in the state released on Thursday showed Biden leading Trump by 9 points, 52%-to-43%. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of likely voters released on Friday morning showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. A Gravis marketing poll of likely voters in the state released on Saturday showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. Polling also released on Monday from the Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Monday shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. A Civiqs/DailyKos poll of likely voters shows Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 52%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. A Franklin & Marshall College poll released on Oct. 28 showed Biden carrying a 6 point lead over Trump, 50%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state. A third Quinnipiac University poll released this month on Oct. 28 showed Biden leading Trump among likely voters in the state by 7 points, 51%-to-44%. 

Biden’s largest lead in October public polling comes from the Quinnipiac University poll released on Oct. 7 that showed the former VP leading the president by 13 points, 54-to-41, among likely voters in the state. However, a Trafalgar Group poll released on Tuesday showed Trump leading Biden by less than 1 point, 48.4%-to-47.6%, among likely voters in the state. 

One other poll from a conservative website showed Trump in the lead, while another GOP friendly poll and one Democratic backed poll released this month showed Biden with an advantage in the state, although the margin varied by the pollster. 

An Insider Advantage phone poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, of likely voters in the state released this week shows Trump leading Biden by just under 3 points, 48.4%-to-45.5%. A Trafalgar Group poll commissioned by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC founded by Doug Traux, a one time GOP Senate hopeful in Illinois, showed Biden leading Trump by 1 point, 47.5%-to-46.4%, among likely voters in the state. A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. 

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Biden besting Trump by 3.6 points in Pennsylvania.

October 31st, 2020 | Posted in Front Page Stories, Poll, Presidential, Top Stories | 2 Comments

2 thoughts on “Univision Poll: Biden 50, Trump 45”

  1. rearward says:

    I’m a pedophile

  2. rearward says:

    Trump is a horrible man child and a worse president.

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